Another Day and Cook’s Political Report shifts three more US House seats in the direction of Democratic candidates.
Ohio CD-1 is currently held by Republican Steve Chabot and has been moved from lean Republican to tossup. This Cincinnati district has a PVI of R +5 and voted 51% to 45% for Trump over Clinton.
There are four Ohio districts held be Republicans (OH districts 1, 10, 12, 14) that are not in the safe category. This does not bode so well for Republicans running for US Senate or the Governorship of this swing state.
NC CD-2 is represented by Republican George Holding and has been adjusted from likely Republican to lean Republican. With a PVI of R +7, the district re-elected Holding 57% to 43% in 2016.
The district is in central North Carolina in and around Wake County. There are four districts in North Carolina held by Republicans that are not safe for the party ( NC districts 2, 8, 9, 13)
NY CD-25 is an upstate New York district Democrats need to hold. The Rochester district, with a PVI of D +8, had been represented by Louise Slaughter until her recent death. Cook’s moved the district from likely Democrat to safe Democrat.
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Trump’s Disapproval Ticks Upward
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...
It’s hardly enough to get excited about or maybe even to write about, but President Trump’s level of disapproval in the polls has increased, very slightly, over the last day or two. The level of voters who approve of Trump doesn’t seem to move at all.
After staying level for months, the average of approval polls kept by website 538 shows a slight weakening. The average currently has 53.6% disapprove and 41.5% approve.
Even Rasmussen Poll is showing less favorable numbers for Trump, minus 7 approval compared to minus 1 on August 15.
Maybe, just maybe, it could be the start of a trend related to the week’s news that two of his closest associates have been found guilty of felonies and that others close to Trump have been given immunity for their cooperation with federal prosecutors.
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