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Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: All eyes on Michigan and Arizona

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Just a typical sleepy Monday here at the Wrap. If, by "sleepy", you mean 21 separate polls taking the pulse of either the GOP primary for the presidency, or taking a distant glance at what might happen come November in the general election.

And even these numbers are subject to change, and fast. Our polling pals at PPP tweeted earlier tonight that Rick Santorum might be staging a finishing kick that could put him back on top of the Michigan primary (though, Tom Jensen did note that Santorum will have to overcome an early vote edge for Team Romney).

Add to that a bunch of new general election data, and there's plenty to talk about. The numbers follow, with a dollop of analysis after the jump.

GOP PRIMARY DATA:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney 32, Santorum 28, Gingrich 14, Paul 12

NATIONAL (Politico/GWU Battleground): Santorum 36, Romney 34, Gingrich 13, Paul 7

ARIZONA (PPP): Romney 43, Santorum 26, Gingrich 18, Paul 11

ARIZONA (We Ask America): Romney 43, Santorum 27, Gingrich 21, Paul 10

MICHIGAN (American Research Group): Santorum 36, Romney 35, Paul 15, Gingrich 8

MICHIGAN (Baydoun Consulting/Foster McCollum White): Romney 39, Santorum 31, Gingrich 9, Paul 9

MICHIGAN (Mitchell Research/Rosetta Stone): Santorum 37, Romney 35, Gingrich 9, Paul 8

MICHIGAN (PPP): Romney 39, Santorum 37, Paul 13, Gingrich 9

MICHIGAN (Rasmussen): Romney 38, Santorum 36, Paul 11, Gingrich 10

MICHIGAN (We Ask America): Romney 37, Santorum 33, Paul 18, Gingrich 13

OHIO (Quinnipiac): Santorum 36, Romney 29, Gingrich 17, Paul 11

SOUTH DAKOTA (Nielson Brothers): Romney 33, Santorum 24, Gingrich 9, Paul 9

TENNESSEE (Vanderbilt University): Santorum 33, Romney 17, Paul 13, Gingrich 10

VERMONT (Castleton State College): Romney 34, Santorum 27, Paul 14, Gingrich 10

GENERAL ELECTION DATA:
NATIONAL (Politico/GWU Battleground Poll): Obama d. Romney (53-43); Obama d. Santorum (53-42)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (45-43); Paul d. Obama (43-41); Obama d. Santorum (45-43); Obama d. Gingrich (49-39)

NATIONAL (USA Today/Gallup): Santorum d. Obama (49-46); Obama tied with Romney (47-47)

PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg College): Obama d. Santorum (49-41); Obama d. Romney (48-37)

SOUTH DAKOTA (Nielson Brothers): Santorum d. Obama (45-33); Romney d. Obama (48-39)

TENNESSEE (Vanderbilt University): Santorum d. Obama (42-38); Romney d. Obama (42-39); Paul d. Obama (40-39); Obama d. Gingrich (41-38)

VERMONT (Castleton State College): Obama d. Romney (58-33); Obama d. Santorum (60-31); Obama d. Paul (60-30); Obama d. Gingrich (65-24)


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