Courtesy of Nate Silver and his team at
www.fiverhirtyeight.com
Rick Santorum has an 80% chance of winning Michigan. This must be taken with caveats because there are several weeks before the Michigan primary. Nevertheless, the fact that we are at this point shows how weak RMoney is. RMoney and his superpacs will attack Rick so he better watch his back. Check Six! With the Superpacs, RMoney will claim that he is not going negative ; it is out of his control. However, few voters and few of the establishment will buy it. The attack will be about K Street. However, when (not if) he does this, his own negatives will go through the roof. Santorum will be harder to bring down. If this works, then RMoney will win Michigan.