The Democratic Campaign committee is fueling the Democratic wave with additional spending in 35 US House races, 33 of which are held by Republicans. (MN CD-1 and NV CD-4 are held by Democrats.)
Some house polls are starting to show a shift toward Democrats, some of which were not thought to be very competitive a couple of weeks ago.
Matt Hodges @hodgesmr22h22 hours ago
New big spend from
@dccc $5.9M in#CA10,#FL15,#FL18,#FL26,#GA06,#IA01,#IL12,#IL13,#IL14,#KS02,#KS03,#KY06,#ME02,#MI06,#MI08,#MN01,#MN02,#MN03,#NC09,#NJ03,#NJ07,#NM02,#NV04,#NY19,#NY22,#OH01,#PA07,#PA10,#TX07,#TX23,#TX32,#UT04,#VA02,#VA10, &#WV032:58 PM - 30 Oct 2018
One example of a race with a terrible poll for an incumbent Republican is a Susquehanna Poll for PA CD-15, Erie and NW PA, and it is not even on this list.
Some additional bad polls for Republican held seats. Incumbents that are tied or behind this late usually (but not always) lose.
| Democrat | Republican | Date | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UT Cd-4 Dixie Strat. | McAdams 49% | Love (I) 43% | 10/25 | ||
VA Cd-7 C. Newport U. | Spanberger 46% | Brat (I) 45% | 10/27 | ||
ks cD-2 nyt/sIENNA | Davis 41% | Watkins 37% | 10/29 | ||
NC Cd-9 NYT-Sienna | McCready 44% | Harris 45% | 10/29 | ||
MT-ALL Univ. MT | Williams 46% | Gianforte (I) 45% | 10/18 |
New York Times/Sienna poll is live surveying some of these races tonight, in case you want an early election night preview.