Let’s not bury Ohio just yet!
Monmouth (A+ 538) is out with a new poll and Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 44-42 in a four way race. This number is down from the +4 lead she had in August.
Lot’s of good info in the story.
Clinton is not doing quite as well as Barack Obama did four years ago among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters (73% to 15% for Trump compared with 84% for Obama to 14% for Mitt Romney in 2012). Likewise, Trump is not doing quite as well with white voters (48% to 39% for Clinton) as Romney did (57% to 41% for Obama). These results have not changed substantially since August.
A couple of other points.
Clinton does have an advantage on a few key metrics. More Buckeye State voters say Clinton understands the day to day concerns of people like them - 47% feel she does and 51% feel she does not - than say the same about Trump - 37% feel he does and 60% feel he does not.
Clinton has an even wider advantage on the issue of presidential temperament. Significantly more voters say Clinton has the right temperament for the job (59%) than say the same about Trump (33%).
Unfortunately things don’t look good in the Ohio Senate race.
Portman leads 54-39.