This is an educational primer to educate everyone on the early voting results being reported by the various polling organizations. Here are the data points behind what's going on in Ohio.
2012 facts
* Ohio does not have party registration -- early voting party registration is based on last party primary you participated in.
*OBAMA- 96 field offices vs. Romney -36 field offices
*2012 GOP primary - 1,212,403 total voters (Exit polls 5% Democrats = 60,620) Only 27% of Dems voted for Romney-47% for Santorum-- This has a small impact on the party registration of early voters reported.
*General election vs. open GOP-primary voters- Younger, blacker, more brown, more liberal whites, more urban voters, higher number of indie voters
*Early voting reported statistics is delayed --will report next week
Polling key stats to watch
* Early voting poling /Same Day (SD)
Marist 18% of electorate-- 63%-37% (+26 O) SD- 48-46 Obama
PPP 19% of electorate - 76%-24% (+52 O) SD- 51-46 Romney
SUSA 11% of electorate - 59%-39% (+20 O) SD- 46-45 Romney (week old)
White voter support for Obama (Average
Marist Romney 51%-44% (+7%)
SUSA Romney 48%-40% (+8%)
PPP Romney 50%-47% (+3%)
ARG Romney 56%-39% (+17%)
Gender Gap for Women
Marist Romney tied Men/Obama +12 Women =12%
SUSA Romney +7 Men /Obama +9 Women = 16%
PPP Romney +2 Men/Obama + 12 Women =12%
ARG Romney +4 Men/Obama + 3 Women = 7%
Indie vote
MARIST 49% -41% Romney (+8%)
SUSA 44%-35% Romney (+9%) 9% said other
PPP 50%-45% Romney (+5%)
ARG 57%-37% Romney (+20%)
Dem vs GOP support
Marist 92-6 Dem/92-5 GOP
SUSA 85-9 Dem/87-6 GOP
PPP 90-9 Dem/85-11 GOP
ARG 88-7 Dem /92-3 GOP