Although many things are possible, Ohio remains the most likely state to determine the winner of the 2012 presidential election. Nate Silver lists it as by far the most likely tipping point state: the state that pushes the winner to the 270 electoral votes needed for victory. Mitt Romney, in particular, has almost no way to get to 270 without Ohio.
The Bain ads are everywhere on Ohio TV and today another new Ohio poll shows they are working. More on Ohio and that new poll below.